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Median homes not for median buyer

June 27, 2003

Two median-income families in Orange County, with good credit and a

combined down payment of $200,000, couldn't afford to buy one

median-priced home in Laguna Beach.

A median-priced home in Laguna's 92651 ZIP code cost a little more

than $1 million in May, according to the latest figures released by

DataQuick Information Systems, which tracks sales and prices.

"This is the highest median ever in Laguna Beach," said Bob

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Chapman, general manager of Orange County for Prudential California

Realty. "But buyers and sellers need to know that you can have a rise

in the median price, but not experience a great deal of appreciation

in an individual part of the market."

The median should not be confused with the average price. A

median-priced home has with as many priced above it as below, it is

the mid-point price of all the homes for sale in a specific market,

in this case, ZIP code 92651.

"Laguna's median-priced home has always been out of range of the

median-income family," Chapman said. "But Orange County homes have

always been expensive in comparison to other counties in California

and compared to the rest of the country."

A low rate of unemployment and a diverse job market -- not to

mention the weather and the recreation and entertainment options make

the county a desirable place to live.

The most desirable place to live in the county is on the coast.

The highest medians, traditionally, are posted in Laguna Beach and

some parts of Newport Beach. The countywide median was $398,000 in

May compared to $1.06 million in Newport Beach's 92657 ZIP code, a

16.8% increase over the previous year; $2.02 million in Newport

Beach's 92661 ZIP code, a 14.6% increase; and Laguna's 49.1%

increase.

Laguna's 92651 ZIP code includes Emerald Bay, where the least

expensive homes are selling on the high side of $2 million, said

Wayne Baglin, a real estate broker and city councilman. It also

includes California Cove on El Toro Road, where homes sell for much

less. Sales at one end of the spectrum or the other show a marked

affect on the median.

"If five or six homes sell in California Cove in one month and not

any or not many in Emerald Bay, the median can go down to $800,000,"

Baglin said. "It can jump around from $800,000 to $1 million and back

to $900,000 in different months.

"What the median gives you is a rough indicator, not an accurate

indicator. But it does tell you that real estate is expensive here."

Historically speaking, home buyers would approach a $1 million

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