the gloom's concerned. There's still the morning crud, but it's been
merciful and is yielding to sunny, pleasant afternoons and evenings.
Water temperatures are right at seasonal levels 65 to 68 degrees.
Waves have been consistently in the 2- to 5-foot range with
favorable surface conditions.
Andres, Bianca and Carlos have come and gone -- none of 'em so far
have cooperated in any manner, cause it's gotta be a Baja Swell for
the Brooks St. Classic or it's a no go. Brooks St. doesn't really do
it's thing until it's a severe angle (165 to 180 degrees) short
interval 10 to 11 seconds Chubasco swell.
Anything else, it's a fraud. New Zealand swells don't cut it at
Brooks Street. They're too thick (18 to 20 seconds) and too straight
For things to gel for a weekend contest -- at least a category one
hurricane needs to enter our Baja surf window moving in a northwest
forward direction by late Wednesday up to about midnight -- a
Chubasco's waves take 48 to 72 hours to arrive here from the moment
the storm crosses that window's Eastern line. So, bingo, by Saturday
daybreak the first "scouts" from that spinner begin marching onto
Brooks Street reef. If the storm moves 12 mph or slower -- we get
waves both Saturday and Sunday. Once the waves do get here, then
you've got surface conditions and compatible tides to throw into the
equation, so it's a real fickle deal.
Some years that gelling process happens, some years, no go. It's
July and we're still waiting -- I can't hold my breath that long!
* DENNIS McTIGHE is a Laguna Beach resident. He earned a
bachelor's in earth sciences from UCSD and was a U.S. Air Force
weather forecaster at Hickman Air Force Base, Hawaii.